Scottish League Cup | Group Stage

Jul 9, 2022 at 3pm UK

Cappielow Park

Morton
0 - 0
Falkirk

King (61'), Blues (89')
Quitongo (45+1')

McKay (73'), McGinn (77')
Henderson (53')

Falkirk win 5-4 on penalties

Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Greenock Morton and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

Last Six:

Last Game: Arbroath 3-0 Morton
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Dundee	0	0	0
5	Greenock Morton	0	0	0
6	Hamilton Academical	0	0	0

Falkirk

Last Six:

Last Game: Queen's Park 1-1 Falkirk
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Edinburgh City	0	0	0
6	Falkirk	0	0	0
7	Kelty Hearts	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Falkirk
42.73% ( 0.03)	25.62% ( -0.01)	31.64% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.41% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.54% (

0.02)

49.46% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.5% (

0.02)

71.49% (

-0.02)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.97% (

0.02)

23.03% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.16% (

0.03)

56.84% (

-0.03)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69% (

-0.01)

29.3% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.73% (

-0.01)

65.27% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 42.73%

Falkirk 31.64%

Draw 25.62%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Falkirk
1-0 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 42.73%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.64%