MX23RW : Monday, November 25 03:14:55| >> :600:694269:694269:
St Mirren logo
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Forfar Athletic

St Mirren
4 - 0
Forfar

Mandron (14', 19'), O'Hara (42' pen.), Gogic (45+1')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Nditi (53')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between St Mirren and Forfar Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Cowdenbeath 0-1 St Mirren
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Forfar Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Forfar 3-1 Arbroath
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Forfar Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawForfar Athletic
57.94% (-0.441 -0.44) 22.56% (0.15 0.15) 19.5% (0.289 0.29)
Both teams to score 52.28% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.43% (-0.231 -0.23)46.56% (0.227 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.16% (-0.217 -0.22)68.84% (0.214 0.21)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.21% (-0.229 -0.23)15.78% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.07% (-0.423 -0.42)44.92% (0.41999999999999 0.42)
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.08% (0.18 0.18)37.92% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.31% (0.174 0.17)74.69% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 57.92%
    Forfar Athletic 19.5%
    Draw 22.56%
St MirrenDrawForfar Athletic
1-0 @ 11.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.19% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.28% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 57.92%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.56%
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.084 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.81% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 19.5%

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