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Scottish Premiership
Aberdeen logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 37
May 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
St Mirren logo

Aberdeen
3 - 0
St Mirren

Clarkson (14'), Shinnie (43', 49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gogic (59')
Small (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Last Game: Hearts 2-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, May 20 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

St Mirren

All competitions
Last Game: Celtic 2-2 St Mirren
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 St Mirren

 With Aberdeen having slipped up in recent matches, St Mirren will fancy their chances of causing another surprise on their travels. However, we feel that the Dons will do just enough to edge this contest, putting themselves on the brink of securing third position. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 19.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawSt Mirren
58.86% (0.403 0.4) 21.85% (-0.07 -0.07) 19.28% (-0.341 -0.34)
Both teams to score 54.24% (-0.372 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.21% (-0.206 -0.21)43.78% (0.199 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.82% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)66.17% (0.194 0.19)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (0.054000000000002 0.05)14.54% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.42% (0.11199999999999 0.11)42.57% (-0.118 -0.12)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46% (-0.478 -0.48)36.53% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.68% (-0.484 -0.48)73.32% (0.47699999999999 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 58.86%
    St Mirren 19.28%
    Draw 21.85%
AberdeenDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 10.24% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.88% (0.129 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.35% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.08% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.06% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 58.86%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.046 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.85%
0-1 @ 5.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.69% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.9% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 19.28%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs St Mirren

Aberdeen
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
St Mirren
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Aberdeen
1-3
St Mirren
Miovski (74' pen.)
MacDonald (13'), Ramadani (36'), Lopes (37'), Pollock (63')
McCrorie (7')
Main (57', 81'), Gallagher (90')
Dunne (35'), Greive (36')
Dec 24, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 18
St Mirren
3-1
Aberdeen
Roos (38' og.), O'Hara (53' pen.), Kiltie (90+5')
Erhahon (30')
Kennedy (9')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
gameweek 2
Aberdeen
4-1
St Mirren
Miovski (24' pen., 37'), Clarkson (45'), Lopes (87')
McCrorie (61')
Ayunga (53' pen.)
Gallagher (9'), Ayunga (48'), Kiltie (85')
Gallagher (23')
May 15, 2022 12pm
gameweek 5
Aberdeen
0-0
St Mirren

Bates (71')

Erhahon (28'), Kiltie (80')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 23
St Mirren
1-0
Aberdeen
Ronan (61')
Tanser (90+2')

Campbell (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell168172226-425
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Kilmarnock174581834-1617
9Hibernian173682129-815
10Ross County173681333-2015
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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