Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
58.86% ( 0.4) | 21.85% ( -0.07) | 19.28% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 54.24% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.21% ( -0.21) | 43.78% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.82% ( -0.2) | 66.17% ( 0.19) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.46% ( 0.05) | 14.54% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.42% ( 0.11) | 42.57% ( -0.12) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.46% ( -0.48) | 36.53% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.68% ( -0.48) | 73.32% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 58.86% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.85% | 0-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.72% Total : 19.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |