Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.