Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Annan Athletic |
27.16% ( -1.3) | 22.69% ( -0.11) | 50.16% ( 1.41) |
Both teams to score 61.6% ( -0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.27% ( -0.46) | 38.73% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.96% ( -0.49) | 61.04% ( 0.49) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.06% ( -1.12) | 26.94% ( 1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.72% ( -1.5) | 62.28% ( 1.5) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.32% ( 0.33) | 15.68% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.28% ( 0.61) | 44.72% ( -0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Edinburgh City | Draw | Annan Athletic |
2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.03% Total : 27.16% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.13) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.77% Total : 50.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |