Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Cove Rangers |
54.4% ( -1.55) | 22.99% ( 0.45) | 22.6% ( 1.1) |
Both teams to score 55.52% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.49% ( -0.68) | 44.51% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.12% ( -0.66) | 66.88% ( 0.66) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.73% ( -0.77) | 16.27% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.18% ( -1.41) | 45.82% ( 1.42) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.31% ( 0.65) | 33.69% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.66% ( 0.7) | 70.34% ( -0.7) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Cove Rangers |
1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.39% Total : 54.4% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.25% Total : 22.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |