Given the manner of their respective semi-final victories, both teams will feel confident of establishing a first-leg advantage. That said, we can only sit on the fence with this one, with Hamilton's extra quality potentially being enough to secure at least a share of the spoils on away territory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 52.61%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
Airdrieonians	Draw	Hamilton Academical
52.61% ( -0.46)	23.18% ( 0.15)	24.21% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 56.86% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.34% (

-0.37)

43.66% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.95% (

-0.36)

66.05% (

0.37)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.4% (

-0.3)

16.6% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.59% (

-0.54)

46.41% (

0.54)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.18% (

0.06)

31.82% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.74% (

0.07)

68.26% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Airdrieonians 52.61%

Hamilton Academical 24.21%

Draw 23.18%

Airdrieonians	Draw	Hamilton Academical
2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.23% Total : 52.61%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.18%	1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 24.21%