Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 73.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 10.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.65%) and 0-3 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 1-0 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.