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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Luton
1 - 0
Cardiff

Brown (57')
Morris (43'), Mengi (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Goutas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 West Brom
Friday, November 1 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Cardiff City

Cardiff are the clear favourites for this contest and it will come as a surprise if they do not battle their way to a hard-earned victory. For us, though, Luton must surely click into gear at some stage and we are backing them to secure a share of the spoils here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
43.07% (3.131 3.13) 25.09% (-0.041 -0.04) 31.85% (-3.084 -3.08)
Both teams to score 56.3% (-0.777 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.95% (-0.608 -0.61)47.05% (0.614 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.71% (-0.57 -0.57)69.29% (0.575 0.58)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17% (1.253 1.25)21.83% (-1.247 -1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (1.869 1.87)55.06% (-1.862 -1.86)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (-2.179 -2.18)27.97% (2.185 2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.39% (-2.868 -2.87)63.61% (2.874 2.87)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 43.07%
    Cardiff City 31.85%
    Draw 25.09%
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.567 0.57)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.339 0.34)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.674 0.67)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.333 0.33)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.46 0.46)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.185 0.19)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.219 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.07%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.156 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.286 -0.29)
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.473 -0.47)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.51 -0.51)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.418 -0.42)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.218 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.365 -0.37)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.207 -0.21)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.85%

How you voted: Luton vs Cardiff

Luton Town
48.1%
Draw
16.9%
Cardiff City
35.1%
77
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Luton
1-0
Cardiff
Adebayo (88')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff
1-2
Luton
Sawyers (85')
Freeman (47'), Osho (62')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Cardiff
0-1
Luton

Bagan (55')
Cornick (71')
Naismith (90+3')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Luton
1-2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')
Feb 16, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 30
Luton
0-2
Cardiff
Wilson (53'), Vaulks (57')
Vaulks (65')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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