Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.