Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 51.32%. A win for Brechin City had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Brechin City win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.