Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.