Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 14.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.