Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 22
Feb 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Easter Road
Hibernian0 - 0Hearts
We said: Hibernian 1-1 Hearts
It is difficult to see Hearts losing at their rivals on Tuesday, with their opponents putting in a very poor second-half display on Saturday and struggling overall since the return from the Scottish winter break. The visitors are in great form and boast a strong record against their neighbours, but we expect the sides to cancel each other out and leave the derby with a share of the points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Hearts |
| 28.09% | 26.19% | 45.72% |
| Both teams to score 50.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.64% | 53.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.1% | 74.9% |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.13% | 33.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.46% | 70.54% |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.72% | 23.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.78% | 57.22% |
| Score Analysis |
Hibernian 28.09%
Hearts 45.72%
Draw 26.19%
| Hibernian | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% 2-1 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 1.77% 3-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.32% Total : 28.09% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 11.49% 1-2 @ 9.07% 0-2 @ 8.38% 1-3 @ 4.41% 0-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.84% Total : 45.72% |
How you voted: Hibernian vs Hearts
Hibernian
21.8%Draw
17.9%Hearts
60.3%78
