Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 79.7%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 7.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.76%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Rangers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
79.7% ( -0.22) | 13.09% ( 0.11) | 7.2% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 48.15% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.43% ( -0.14) | 32.57% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.77% ( -0.16) | 54.22% ( 0.15) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.61% ( -0.07) | 6.38% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.05% ( -0.2) | 23.94% ( 0.19) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.44% ( 0.18) | 48.56% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.36% ( 0.13) | 83.64% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Rangers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
2-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.77% ( 0) 4-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.64% Total : 79.7% | 1-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.77% Total : 13.09% | 0-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 7.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |