Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
Result | ||
Livingston | Draw | Kilmarnock |
48.84% (![]() | 26.01% (![]() | 25.15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.45% (![]() | 54.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.1% (![]() | 75.9% (![]() |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.64% (![]() | 22.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.14% (![]() | 55.86% (![]() |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.06% (![]() | 36.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.27% (![]() | 73.73% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Livingston | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 12.37% 2-0 @ 9.27% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.23% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.61% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.73% ( ![]() Other @ 2.99% Total : 48.83% | 1-1 @ 12.32% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.59% ( ![]() Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.23% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.1% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-3 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 1.77% Total : 25.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |