Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 72.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 11.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 1-2 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Rangers | Draw | Aberdeen |
72.06% ( 0.01) | 16.62% ( -0) | 11.32% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 52.54% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.87% ( 0.01) | 36.13% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.76% ( 0.01) | 58.24% ( -0.01) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.22% ( 0) | 8.78% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.86% ( 0.01) | 30.13% ( -0.01) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.6% | 42.4% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.22% ( -0) | 78.78% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Rangers | Draw | Aberdeen |
2-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.93% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.29% 5-0 @ 2.64% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.97% 6-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 72.06% | 1-1 @ 7.77% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.06% 0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.62% | 1-2 @ 3.33% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.16% 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.31% Total : 11.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |