Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
We said: St Mirren 1-1 Hearts
With each team boasting a victory over the other already this season, either could realistically walk away with three points this weekend.
However, the fact both are out of form could lead to them sharing the points as they try to get things back on track.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 42.88% . A win for St Mirren had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.34%) . The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result St Mirren Draw Hearts 31.44% ( -0.86) 25.68% ( -0.06) 42.88% ( 0.93)
Both teams to score 54.14% ( -0.12)
50.22% ( -0.01) 49.78% ( 0.01)
28.22% ( -0.01) 71.78% ( 0.01)
70.4% ( -0.57) 29.6% ( 0.58)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.36% ( -0.71) 65.63% ( 0.71)
76.9% ( 0.45) 23.1% ( -0.45)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.06% ( 0.66) 56.94% ( -0.65)
St Mirren 31.44%
Hearts 42.87%
Draw 25.67%
St Mirren Draw Hearts 1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.44% 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.67% 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.87%
How you voted: St Mirren vs Hearts
27
rhs 2.0
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