Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
31.44% ( -0.86) | 25.68% ( -0.06) | 42.88% ( 0.93) |
Both teams to score 54.14% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.22% ( -0.01) | 49.78% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.22% ( -0.01) | 71.78% ( 0.01) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.4% ( -0.57) | 29.6% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.36% ( -0.71) | 65.63% ( 0.71) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.9% ( 0.45) | 23.1% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.06% ( 0.66) | 56.94% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.44% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |