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Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee logo
Dundee United
Hearts logo
Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
Motherwell logo
Rangers logo
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Hearts logo

St Mirren
1 - 2
Hearts

Olusanya (68')
Tanser (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Grant (33' pen.), Mandron (62' og.)
Tait (45+3'), Sibbick (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 St Mirren
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 1-1 Hearts

With each team boasting a victory over the other already this season, either could realistically walk away with three points this weekend. However, the fact both are out of form could lead to them sharing the points as they try to get things back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawHearts
31.44% (-0.861 -0.86) 25.68% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 42.88% (0.929 0.93)
Both teams to score 54.14% (-0.123 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.22% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)49.78% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.22% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)71.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (-0.574 -0.57)29.6% (0.577 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.36% (-0.707 -0.71)65.63% (0.709 0.71)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (0.45100000000001 0.45)23.1% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.06% (0.656 0.66)56.94% (-0.65499999999999 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 31.44%
    Hearts 42.87%
    Draw 25.67%
St MirrenDrawHearts
1-0 @ 8.32% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-0 @ 5.07% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.44%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 10.01% (0.128 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.34% (0.194 0.19)
1-3 @ 4.37% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.59% (0.141 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.059 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.068 0.07)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 42.87%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Hearts

St Mirren
7.4%
Draw
14.8%
Hearts
77.8%
27
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Hearts
2-0
St Mirren
Shankland (33', 49')
Atkinson (66'), Halkett (78')

Gogic (2'), Tanser (22'), Boyd-Munce (76')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
St Mirren
1-0
Hearts
Strain (7')
Baccus (24'), Olusanya (25')

Rowles (24')
May 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
St Mirren
2-2
Hearts
Shaughnessy (36'), Strain (45+4')
Taylor (23'), Kiltie (29')
Ginnelly (73'), Shankland (90+6' pen.)
Rowles (17'), Naismith (18'), Devlin (44'), Atkinson (65'), Kiomourtzoglou (80')
Haring (77')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Hearts
0-2
St Mirren
Main (52'), Gogic (57')
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Hearts
1-0
St Mirren
McKay (29')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1211103543134
2Aberdeen12101125121331
3RangersRangers12723179823
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd135531914520
5Motherwell126151616019
6St Mirren145361923-418
7Dundee134362225-315
8Ross County143651222-1015
9St Johnstone144191727-1013
10Kilmarnock133371526-1112
11Hearts142391524-99
12Hibernian131571222-108


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