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Celtic logo
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Dundee United
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Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
Motherwell logo
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
St Mirren logo

Hearts
2 - 0
St Mirren

Shankland (33', 49')
Atkinson (66'), Halkett (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gogic (2'), Tanser (22'), Boyd-Munce (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 0-2 Hearts
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 0-0 Motherwell
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 0-0 St Mirren

With little to split these two teams in the league, it will likely be a cagey fixture on Saturday with neither wanting to give too much away. Considering the lack of goals that they tend to score, a goalless draw could be the way this game unfolds. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
45.21% (0.175 0.17) 24.58% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03) 30.21% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.48% (0.048999999999999 0.05)45.52% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15% (0.043999999999997 0.04)67.85% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77% (0.093999999999994 0.09)20.23% (-0.096999999999998 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.44% (0.154 0.15)52.56% (-0.157 -0.16)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)28.29% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)64.01% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 45.21%
    St Mirren 30.21%
    Draw 24.57%
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.31% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 45.21%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 30.21%

How you voted: Hearts vs St Mirren

Hearts
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
St Mirren
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
St Mirren
1-0
Hearts
Strain (7')
Baccus (24'), Olusanya (25')

Rowles (24')
May 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
St Mirren
2-2
Hearts
Shaughnessy (36'), Strain (45+4')
Taylor (23'), Kiltie (29')
Ginnelly (73'), Shankland (90+6' pen.)
Rowles (17'), Naismith (18'), Devlin (44'), Atkinson (65'), Kiomourtzoglou (80')
Haring (77')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Hearts
0-2
St Mirren
Main (52'), Gogic (57')
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Hearts
1-0
St Mirren
McKay (29')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314


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