Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | St Mirren |
45.21% ( 0.17) | 24.58% ( -0.03) | 30.21% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 57.2% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.48% ( 0.05) | 45.52% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.15% ( 0.04) | 67.85% ( -0.05) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.77% ( 0.09) | 20.23% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.44% ( 0.15) | 52.56% ( -0.16) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.7% ( -0.08) | 28.29% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.98% ( -0.1) | 64.01% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | St Mirren |
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 45.21% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |