Alaves

1 - 0

Zaragoza

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 41.78%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 28.27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.