Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for Elche had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Cartagena	Draw	Elche
36.11% ( -0.68)	29.77% ( 0.34)	34.11% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 42.71% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.59% (

-1.11)

64.4% (

1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.52% (

-0.79)

83.47% (

0.78)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.03% (

-1.03)

33.96% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.36% (

-1.12)

70.64% (

1.12)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.68% (

-0.37)

35.31% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.92% (

-0.38)

72.07% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Cartagena 36.11%

Elche 34.11%

Draw 29.77%

Cartagena	Draw	Elche
1-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.11%	1-1 @ 13.48% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.77%	0-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.11% Total : 34.11%