Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 38.45%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 30.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 1-2 (6.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.62%), while for a Castellon win it was 1-0 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.