Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 36.15%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.16%) and 1-2 (7%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 1-0 (13.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.