Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 34.86%. A win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.91%) and 1-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 (13.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.