Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 44%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 26.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 1-0 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.