Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 49.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Extremadura had a probability of 22.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Extremadura win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.