Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 21.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leganes in this match.