Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.79%) and 1-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (11.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.