Segunda Division | Gameweek 23

Jan 22, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Leganes
2 - 0
Burgos

Garcia (14', 20')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Antonio Caro (19'), Bolo (20'), Matos (23')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Leganes and Burgos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leganes

All competitions

Segunda Division

Last Game: FC Andorra 2-3 Leganes
Sunday, January 14 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burgos

All competitions

Segunda Division

Last Game: Burgos 1-0 Valladolid
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 44.66%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 25.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.

Result
Leganes	Draw	Burgos
44.66% ( 0.06)	29.57% ( 0.18)	25.78% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 40.25% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.09% (

-0.62)

65.91% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.48% (

-0.43)

84.52% (

0.43)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.36% (

-0.27)

29.63% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.32% (

-0.34)

65.68% (

0.34)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.2% (

-0.58)

42.8% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.88% (

-0.49)

79.12% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Leganes 44.65%

Burgos 25.78%

Draw 29.56%

Leganes	Draw	Burgos
1-0 @ 15.42% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.35% Total : 44.65%	1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.41% Total : 29.56%	0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.07% Total : 25.78%