Ponferradina

2 - 1

Elche

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Elche had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.