Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club de Ferrol win with a probability of 45.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 27.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club de Ferrol would win this match.

Result
Racing Club de Ferrol	Draw	Alcorcon
45.07% ( 0.05)	27.57% ( 0)	27.36% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 46.29% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.16% (

-0.03)

58.84% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.65% (

-0.03)

79.34% (

0.02)

Racing Club de Ferrol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.96% (

0.01)

26.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.93% (

0.02)

61.07% (

-0.02)

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.58% (

-0.06)

37.41% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.8% (

-0.06)

74.19% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Racing Club de Ferrol 45.06%

Alcorcon 27.36%

Draw 27.57%

Racing Club de Ferrol	Draw	Alcorcon
1-0 @ 13.1% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.06%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.57%	0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 27.36%