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Rayo Vallecano logo
Segunda Division | Gameweek 39
Jul 9, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
3 - 2
Numancia

Suarez (25' pen.), de Frutos (45+4'), Villar (66' pen.)
Qasmi (28'), Comesana (57'), Martin (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Marin (57'), Curro (72')
Moran (54'), Escassi (54'), Curro (90+5'), Nacho (90+5')
Marin (65')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Rayo Vallecano and Numancia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Numancia had a probability of 20.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Numancia win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawNumancia
53.13%26.5%20.38%
Both teams to score 42.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.74%60.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.57%80.44%
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11%22.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.36%56.64%
Numancia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.1%44.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.15%80.86%
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 53.12%
    Numancia 20.38%
    Draw 26.49%
Rayo VallecanoDrawNumancia
1-0 @ 15.15%
2-0 @ 11.17%
2-1 @ 8.95%
3-0 @ 5.49%
3-1 @ 4.4%
4-0 @ 2.02%
3-2 @ 1.76%
4-1 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 53.12%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 8.23%
1-2 @ 4.86%
0-2 @ 3.3%
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 20.38%

Head to Head
Nov 16, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Numancia
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Calero (23'), Sanhaji (73')
Ledes (66')
Ulloa (19', 52')
Saveljich (35'), Valentin (63'), Catena (77')
Jan 21, 2018 5pm
Numancia
0-0
Rayo Vallecano
Etxeberria (78')
Trejo (49'), Beltran (90')
Aug 26, 2017 7.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Numancia
Trejo (19', 21' pen.)
Lopez (14')
Milla (49'), Maly Diamanka (63')
Escassi (21'), Milla (59')
rhs 2.0
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11ElcheElche731398110
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13Sporting GijonSporting Gijon72327619
14Albacete73041012-29
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16CordobaCordoba7223911-28
17Granada71421012-27
18Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo7214810-27
19CartagenaCartagena7205711-46
20Almeria71331015-56
21Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol7034411-73
22TenerifeTenerife7025510-52


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