Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Numancia had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Numancia win was 1-0 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.