Tenerife

2 - 0

Cartagena

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.1%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.