Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Villarreal II	Draw	Real Valladolid
35.16% ( 1.85)	25.76% ( 0.69)	39.07% ( -2.55)

Both teams to score 54.92% (

-1.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.76% (

-2.7)

49.24% (

2.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.7% (

-2.49)

71.29% (

2.48)

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.01% (

-0.18)

26.98% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.67% (

-0.23)

62.33% (

0.22)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.21% (

-2.49)

24.78% (

2.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.64% (

-3.59)

59.35% (

3.59)

Score Analysis

Villarreal II 35.16%

Real Valladolid 39.07%

Draw 25.76%

Villarreal II	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.89) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.16%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.47) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.32) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.28) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.21) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.19) Other @ 1.79% Total : 39.07%