Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 3-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
