Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.95%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.06%) and 0-1 (8%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
