Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta1 - 1Juventus
We said: Atalanta BC 0-0 Juventus
Although both sides boast plenty of attacking talent, it could be an intense tactical battle between Thiago Motta and Gian Piero Gasperini, who are well acquainted from their Genoa days. Master meets apprentice in Bergamo, and Gasp's men should add to Motta's frustration by playing out a close-fought draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Juventus |
50.53% ( -0.14) | 24.56% ( -0.01) | 24.91% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.12% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.04% ( 0.15) | 48.96% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.95% ( 0.13) | 71.05% ( -0.13) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.61% ( 0) | 19.38% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.81% ( 0) | 51.19% ( -0) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.9% ( 0.21) | 34.1% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.21% ( 0.22) | 70.79% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC 50.53%
Juventus 24.91%
Draw 24.55%
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0)4-0 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 50.53% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.22% Total : 24.91% |
How you voted: Atalanta vs Juventus
Atalanta BC
53.9%Draw
28.1%Juventus
18.0%128
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 28
Juventus
2-2
Atalanta
Oct 1, 2023 5pm
Aug 12, 2023 7.30pm
May 7, 2023 11.30am
