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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Empoli logo

Atalanta
vs.
Empoli

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 6-1 Cesena
Wednesday, December 18 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Torino
Friday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We say: Atalanta BC 2-0 Empoli

Atalanta have drawn only one of their last 23 Serie A home fixtures - and none since mid-April - while averaging 2.6 goals per game. A clear outcome should be expected, then, and even Empoli's admirable away record cannot help them defeat La Dea. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.94%. A draw has a probability of 16.7% and a win for Empoli has a probability of 10.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.22%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Empoli win it is 0-1 (3.34%).

Result
Atalanta BCDrawEmpoli
72.94% (4.48 4.48) 16.67% (-2.045 -2.05) 10.39% (-2.435 -2.44)
Both teams to score 48.81% (-1.027 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.8% (2.916 2.92)39.19% (-2.915 -2.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.47% (2.988 2.99)61.52% (-2.989 -2.99)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.65% (1.903 1.9)9.35% (-1.9021 -1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.49% (4.324 4.32)31.51% (-4.324 -4.32)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.84% (-2.313 -2.31)46.16% (2.314 2.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.15% (-1.849 -1.85)81.84% (1.848 1.85)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 72.92%
    Empoli 10.39%
    Draw 16.67%
Atalanta BCDrawEmpoli
2-0 @ 12.11% (0.34 0.34)
1-0 @ 10.22% (-0.55 -0.55)
3-0 @ 9.57% (1 1)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.337 -0.34)
3-1 @ 7.4% (0.332 0.33)
4-0 @ 5.67% (0.989 0.99)
4-1 @ 4.39% (0.524 0.52)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.69% (0.642 0.64)
5-1 @ 2.08% (0.391 0.39)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.103 0.1)
6-0 @ 1.06% (0.317 0.32)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 72.92%
1-1 @ 7.91% (-0.978 -0.98)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.617 -0.62)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.38 -0.38)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 16.67%
0-1 @ 3.34% (-0.731 -0.73)
1-2 @ 3.06% (-0.607 -0.61)
0-2 @ 1.29% (-0.387 -0.39)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 10.39%

Who will win Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta and Empoli?

Atalanta BC
Draw
Empoli
Atalanta BC
95.5%
Draw
4.5%
Empoli
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 34
Atalanta
2-0
Empoli
Pasalic (42' pen.), Lookman (51')
Scalvini (81')

Luperto (24'), Kovalenko (77')
Oct 30, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Empoli
0-3
Atalanta

Maleh (33'), Cacace (35'), Gyasi (69'), Fazzini (85')
Scamacca (5', 51'), Koopmeiners (29')
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Atalanta
2-1
Empoli
De Roon (58'), Hojlund (86')
Ebuehi (44')
Oct 30, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Empoli
0-2
Atalanta
Hateboer (32'), Lookman (59')
May 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Atalanta
0-1
Empoli

Freuler (58')
Stulac (79')
Stojanovic (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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