Cagliari0 - 1Atalanta
We said: Cagliari 0-2 Atalanta BC
Although their schedule is packed - and Gasperini rarely rotates his squad - Atalanta should still have enough gas in the tank to beat Cagliari. The home side have weaknesses at both ends of the pitch, while their high-flying visitors are riding the crest of a wave. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Atalanta BC |
20.32% ( 0.02) | 22.72% ( 0.01) | 56.95% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.1% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.85% ( -0.01) | 46.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.56% ( -0.01) | 68.44% ( 0.01) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.19% ( 0.02) | 36.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.4% ( 0.02) | 73.6% ( -0.02) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.03% ( -0.02) | 15.97% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.73% ( -0.03) | 45.26% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.39% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.94% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.79% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.71% Total : 20.32% | 1-1 @ 10.77% 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.72% | 0-1 @ 10.78% 0-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.02% 0-4 @ 2.77% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.77% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 56.95% |
