Serie A | Gameweek 27
Feb 28, 2022 at 7.50pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Atalanta4 - 0Sampdoria
We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Sampdoria
Atalanta's depleted attack and thinned options in defence makes it hard to imagine a traditional Dea romping, especially with the Gewiss Stadium not being kind to them so far this term. However, Giampaolo is yet to inspire a change in Sampdoria's winless and scoreless away form and has his own absent players to work around, so we have faith in the hosts to build on their stellar European showing and halt the Blucerchiati momentum in a closely-fought battle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 78.13%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.13%) and 1-0 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 78.13% | 14.36% | 7.51% |
| Both teams to score 44.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.06% | 37.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.8% | 60.2% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.13% | 7.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 72.12% | 27.88% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.35% | 51.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.23% | 85.77% |
| Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC 78.12%
Sampdoria 7.51%
Draw 14.36%
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 2-0 @ 13.13% 3-0 @ 11.13% 1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 8.68% 3-1 @ 7.36% 4-0 @ 7.08% 4-1 @ 4.68% 5-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.43% 5-1 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.55% 6-0 @ 1.53% 6-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.26% Total : 78.12% | 1-1 @ 6.83% 0-0 @ 4.06% 2-2 @ 2.87% Other @ 0.6% Total : 14.36% | 0-1 @ 2.69% 1-2 @ 2.26% Other @ 2.57% Total : 7.51% |
How you voted: Atalanta vs Sampdoria
Atalanta BC
79.1%Draw
14.5%Sampdoria
6.4%172
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2021 11.30am
Oct 24, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 5
Atalanta
1-3
Sampdoria
Jul 8, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 31
Atalanta
2-0
Sampdoria
Nov 10, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 12
Sampdoria
0-0
Atalanta
Form Guide
