While impressively disciplined in their draw with Juventus, another failure to pick up maximum points will inevitably knock confidence in an ailing Atalanta squad, which has lost direction since the turn of the year.
Though lacking the individual quality of their hosts in several departments, Olympiacos can boast enough experience and nous to grind out a first-leg draw and keep this tie in the balance heading back to the Greek capital.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
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