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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 13, 2022 at 11.30am UK
San Siro
Sampdoria logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Sampdoria

Leao (8')
Diaz (19'), Romagnoli (26'), Bennacer (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rincon (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Sampdoria

 Though recent arrivals may have freshened things up at the club, Sampdoria have failed to score in either of their last two away matches in Serie A, and could be set to do so for three successive games for the first time since 2018. Milan have begun to recover from the loss of defensive lynchpin Simon Kjaer in the back four, and with Giroud possibly starting one of his hot streaks, there is significant potential for goals up front. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 75.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 8.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.46%) and 3-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawSampdoria
75.07%16.13%8.79%
Both teams to score 44.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.16%41.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.75%64.24%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.49%9.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.12%31.88%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.75%51.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.49%85.5%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 75.06%
    Sampdoria 8.79%
    Draw 16.13%
AC MilanDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 13.48%
1-0 @ 11.46%
3-0 @ 10.58%
2-1 @ 9.02%
3-1 @ 7.08%
4-0 @ 6.23%
4-1 @ 4.16%
5-0 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 2.37%
5-1 @ 1.96%
4-2 @ 1.39%
6-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 75.06%
1-1 @ 7.67%
0-0 @ 4.87%
2-2 @ 3.02%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 16.13%
0-1 @ 3.26%
1-2 @ 2.56%
0-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 8.79%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Sampdoria

AC Milan
85.3%
Draw
10.5%
Sampdoria
4.2%
95
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Sampdoria
0-1
AC Milan

Gabbiadini (33'), Murru (89'), Bereszynski (90+3')
Diaz (9')
Kjaer (86')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 29
AC Milan
1-1
Sampdoria
Petter Hauge (87')
Saelemaekers (45'), Bennacer (50')
Quagliarella (57')
Colley (32'), Thorsby (39'), Silva (45+1'), Candreva (73')
Silva (59')
> Preview
Dec 6, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Sampdoria
1-2
AC Milan
Ekdal (82')
Silva (26'), Jankto (45+2')
Kessie (45' pen.), Castillejo (77')
Kessie (5')
> Preview
Jan 6, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 18
AC Milan
0-0
Sampdoria
Krunic (13')
Depaoli (40'), Thorsby (68'), Colley (70'), Bereszynski (78'), Linetty (91')
Mar 30, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 29
Sampdoria
1-0
AC Milan
Defrel (1')
Vieira (37'), Praert (76')

Suso (15'), Castillejo (25'), Bakayoko (65'), Musacchio (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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