Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Jan 3, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio Ciro Vigorito

Benevento
0 - 2
AC Milan

Schiattarella (32')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kessie (15' pen.), Leao (49')
Calhanoglu (41'), Dalot (78'), Leao (80')
Tonali (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Benevento and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Benevento had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 0-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Benevento win it was 2-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Benevento	Draw	AC Milan
20.7%	21.37%	57.93%

Both teams to score 58.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.46%

39.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.12%

61.88%

Benevento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.34%

32.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.8%

69.2%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.57%

13.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.61%

40.39%

Score Analysis

Benevento 20.7%

AC Milan 57.93%

Draw 21.37%

Benevento	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 5.51% 1-0 @ 4.91% 2-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.07% 3-1 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.38% Total : 20.7%	1-1 @ 9.85% 2-2 @ 5.54% 0-0 @ 4.38% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.37%	1-2 @ 9.89% 0-2 @ 8.84% 0-1 @ 8.8% 1-3 @ 6.62% 0-3 @ 5.92% 2-3 @ 3.71% 1-4 @ 3.32% 0-4 @ 2.97% 2-4 @ 1.86% 1-5 @ 1.34% 0-5 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.48% Total : 57.93%