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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
San Siro
Lazio logo

AC Milan
3 - 2
Lazio

Rebic (10'), Calhanoglu (17' pen.), Hernandez (90+2')
Krunic (41'), Pioli (44'), Hernandez (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Alberto (28'), Immobile (59')
Inzaghi (27'), Escalante (39'), Alberto (64'), Akpa-Akpro (80'), Muriqi (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawLazio
52.56%23.1%24.34%
Both teams to score 57.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.83%43.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.43%65.57%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.56%16.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.88%46.12%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55%31.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.17%67.83%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 52.56%
    Lazio 24.34%
    Draw 23.09%
AC MilanDrawLazio
2-1 @ 9.75%
1-0 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 8.43%
3-1 @ 5.87%
3-0 @ 5.07%
3-2 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2.65%
4-0 @ 2.29%
4-2 @ 1.53%
5-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 52.56%
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 5.64%
0-0 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.09%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-1 @ 5.98%
0-2 @ 3.46%
1-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 24.34%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Lazio

AC Milan
67.1%
Draw
18.0%
Lazio
14.9%
161
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2020 8.45pm
Nov 3, 2019 7.45pm
Apr 24, 2019 7.45pm
Final
AC Milan
0-1
Lazio

Musacchio (70'), Bakayoko (79')
Correa (58')
Felipe (37'), Caicedo (78')
Apr 24, 2019 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
AC Milan
0-1
Lazio

Musacchio (70'), Bakayoko (79')
Correa (58')
Felipe (37'), Caicedo (78')
Apr 13, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
AC Milan
1-0
Lazio
Kessie (79' pen.)
Zapata (90')

Romulo (9'), Alberto (85')
rhs 2.0
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Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli6411114713
2Juventus633090912
3AC Milan6321147711
4Torino6321108211
5Inter Milan6321137611
6Udinese6312910-110
7Empoli624052310
8Lazio63121210210
9Roma62317439
10Como6222911-28
11Atalanta BCAtalanta62131112-17
12Bologna614179-27
13Fiorentina61417707
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona62041011-16
15Lecce6123311-85
16CagliariCagliari6123410-65
17Genoa6123410-65
18Parma61231012-25
19VeneziaVenezia6114410-64
20Monza603348-43


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