Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Lazio |
52.56% | 23.1% | 24.34% |
Both teams to score 57.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.83% | 43.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.43% | 65.57% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.56% | 16.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.88% | 46.12% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.55% | 31.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.17% | 67.83% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Lazio |
2-1 @ 9.75% 1-0 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 5.87% 3-0 @ 5.07% 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.56% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 5.64% 0-0 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.09% | 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-1 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 3.46% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.74% Total : 24.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |