Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

Jul 15, 2020 at 6.30pm UK

Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
3 - 0
Cagliari

Gabbiadini (8'), Bonazzoli (40', 53')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ionita (16'), Rog (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Cagliari, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Cagliari
43.74%	26.32%	29.94%

Both teams to score 51.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.02%

52.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.42%

74.58%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.93%

24.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.65%

58.35%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.72%

32.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.22%

68.78%

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 43.74%

Cagliari 29.94%

Draw 26.32%

Sampdoria	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.69% Total : 43.74%	1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.77% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.32%	0-1 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.94%