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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Jul 19, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
SPAL logo

Brescia
2 - 1
SPAL

Zmrhal (69', 90+3')
Spalek (14'), Torregrossa (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dabo (42')
Reca (58'), Dabo (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Brescia and SPAL, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.

Result
BresciaDrawSPAL
38.17%26.22%35.6%
Both teams to score 53.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82%51.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98%73.02%
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84%26.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.76%61.24%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35%27.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.81%63.19%
Score Analysis
    Brescia 38.17%
    SPAL 35.6%
    Draw 26.21%
BresciaDrawSPAL
1-0 @ 9.7%
2-1 @ 8.36%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-0 @ 2.91%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 38.17%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.23%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.3%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 5.98%
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.6%

Head to Head
Dec 8, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 15
SPAL
0-1
Brescia

Vicari (21'), Kurtic (42'), Cionek (45')
Balotelli (54')
Cistana (18'), Magnani (72'), Joronen (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli35238455253077
2Inter Milan35228573334074
3Atalanta BCAtalanta35208771314068
4Juventus351615452322063
5Roma35189850321863
6Lazio35189858451363
7Bologna351614553381562
8Fiorentina351781053351859
9AC Milan351691055391657
10Como35129144548-345
11Torino351014113940-144
12Udinese35128153849-1144
13Genoa35912143043-1339
14CagliariCagliari3589183651-1533
15Parma35614154054-1432
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3595213063-3332
17Lecce3569202457-3327
18VeneziaVenezia35414172849-2126
19Empoli35413182755-2825
20Monza3529242563-3815


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