Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Brescia win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Brescia |
57.26% | 21.59% | 21.15% |
Both teams to score 58.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.05% | 39.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.68% | 62.32% |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.23% | 13.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.93% | 41.07% |
Brescia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.53% | 32.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.01% | 68.99% |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Brescia |
2-1 @ 9.89% 1-0 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 8.79% 3-1 @ 6.53% 3-0 @ 5.81% 3-2 @ 3.68% 4-1 @ 3.24% 4-0 @ 2.88% 4-2 @ 1.82% 5-1 @ 1.28% 5-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.34% Total : 57.26% | 1-1 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 5.56% 0-0 @ 4.47% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.59% | 1-2 @ 5.61% 0-1 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 2.83% 1-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.43% Total : 21.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
3 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
4 | Lazio | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Fiorentina | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 19 |
14 | Parma | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 18 |
15 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
16 | Como | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |