Serie A | Gameweek 35
Jul 22, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Via del Mare
Lecce3 - 1Brescia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Brescia win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Brescia |
| 57.26% | 21.59% | 21.15% |
| Both teams to score 58.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.05% | 39.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.68% | 62.32% |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.23% | 13.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.93% | 41.07% |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.53% | 32.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.01% | 68.99% |
| Score Analysis |
Lecce 57.26%
Brescia 21.15%
Draw 21.59%
| Lecce | Draw | Brescia |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% 1-0 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 8.79% 3-1 @ 6.53% 3-0 @ 5.81% 3-2 @ 3.68% 4-1 @ 3.24% 4-0 @ 2.88% 4-2 @ 1.82% 5-1 @ 1.28% 5-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.34% Total : 57.26% | 1-1 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 5.56% 0-0 @ 4.47% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.59% | 1-2 @ 5.61% 0-1 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 2.83% 1-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.43% Total : 21.15% |
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 16
Brescia
3-0
Lecce
Chancellor (32'), Torregrossa (44'), Spalek (61')
Chancellor (35'), Balotelli (38'), Torregrossa (40'), Spalek (58')
Chancellor (35'), Balotelli (38'), Torregrossa (40'), Spalek (58')
Apr 28, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 35
Lecce
1-0
Brescia
Dec 16, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 16
Brescia
2-1
Lecce
