Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crotone | Draw | Torino |
32.55% | 25.78% | 41.67% |
Both teams to score 54.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.15% | 49.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.16% | 71.84% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.1% | 28.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.23% | 64.76% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.28% | 23.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.15% | 57.84% |
Score Analysis |
Crotone | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 7.6% 2-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.55% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.85% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 9.86% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 7.1% 1-3 @ 4.23% 0-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 35 |
5 | Juventus | 18 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 32 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
9 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Torino | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 21 |
12 | Empoli | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Parma | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
16 | Como | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Lecce | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 17 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |