Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 3, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Atalanta5 - 1Crotone
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 12.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 3-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Crotone |
| 71.85% | 15.99% | 12.17% |
| Both teams to score 58.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
